With 10 matches to go, Frosinone are closing in on gaining promotion from Serie B. And yet, the fight for the remaining two spots will go down to the wire.
The gap between second-placed Genoa, who are 11 points behind the leaders, and Parma in seventh place is only 10 points. If anything, the top five teams at the moment are playing out of their skin, hoping to seize the slightest slip-up. Still, this makes the Italian Second Division one of the most competitive leagues in Europe.
Interestingly, Monza, who finished fourth last season, are holding up comfortably in 11th place in Serie A. However, Lecce, who finished top, are wrestling for survival, while Cremonese are neck-deep in relegation in 19th place. To be fair, they seem to be on their way back to Serie B.
More importantly, this competition continues to deliver great returns for punters who have their sights on the lower leagues in Europe.
It is, in fact, fascinating that the cards bet is one of the more lucrative options in Serie B. There have been an average of three red cards shown in the last five gameweeks. Gameweek 26 witnessed six red cards.
And with 28 matches played, some unique patterns have emerged, allowing punters to make better betting decisions. Here are four of them:
Over 5.5 Yellow Cards In Matches Involving Benevento
Benevento have been a shadow of their decent selves this season. From making the promotion playoffs, losing to Pisa on away goals, the Sorcerers are languishing in 18th place this term.
Fabio Cannavaro, who was appointed last September, could not improve on last season’s feat and was fired after five months in charge. Notably, of course, Benevento were on a downward spiral just before the end of the season.
Roberto Stellone’s side has struggled with scoring this season, even while still having a particularly steady defence. This is in sharp contrast with what they did offensively last season, outscoring every team in the division.
Gianluca Lapadula, who managed 13 goals for them last season, has joined Cagliari and is already one of the highest scorers in Serie B. Roberto Insigne has also joined the leaders, Frosinone.
Even worse, Benevento have one of the worst disciplinary records in the league. They have amassed 89 yellow cards so far, which is an average of three per match. Stellone’s team have recorded three red cards in three of their last six matches.
Hence, betting on over 5.5 yellow cards in every league match involving Benevento is a solid bet option for punters interested in Serie B.
Over 2.5 Goals In Matches Involving Reggina
As things stand, Reggina have a spot in the playoffs for promotion. And by every standard, this is an improvement on their 14th-place finish last season.
Their goal-scoring record has improved. The Amaranth have scored more goals (39) in 28 matches than they did in the entirety of the last campaign.
Perhaps the reason is the appointment of former AC Milan forward Fillipo Inzaghi. The Italian had led Brescia to the fifth position before getting dismissed by the club chairman. 13 days after his appointment at Reggina, they defeated Lamezia in a pre-season friendly, 12-0.
While there has been no exact standout player plundering the goals, the likes of Giovanni Fabian, Hernani, and Luigi Canotto have all contributed to the scoring. Still, they have not been able to keep things tight at the back, with only Palermo conceding more goals than Reggina among the top 10 sides.
Reggina have recorded 16 over 2.5 goals results this season, including four of their last six matches.
Under 3.5 Goals In Matches Involving Pisa
After losing to Monza in the playoffs final last season, Pisa are once again in contention for promotion.
The Nerazzurri sit in fifth place, eight points behind an automatic spot. They don’t seem as impeccable as they were last season. At this point, Luca D’Angelo’s men have lost almost the same number of matches they lost in 38 matches last season.
Their disciplinary record is almost on par with Benevento’s. They have one more than their Italian counterparts.
Yet, their offensive record is quite better than it was last season. In fact, some might tell you that their average scoring record was the main reason they could not defeat Monza, especially at home. Olimpiu Morutan has also come in from Galatasaray and contributed six more.
In defence, they remain steady; only the top three sides have conceded more so far. In this regard, Pisa are averaging just one goal conceded per match.
Pisa have played 20 under 3.5 goals matches this season.
Over 1.5 Goals In Matches Involving Frosinone
Former Italian international, Fabio Grosso, is making great strides with Frosinone, who are so close to gaining promotion for the first time since the 2018/19 season.
Grosso’s men have outscored and out-defended every Serie B team this season. The back line has been rock solid, especially after their investments in Luca Ravelli and Fabio Lucioni from Cremonese and Lecce, respectively.
At the other end, they also acquired the services of Guiseppe Caso, Insigne and Samuel Mulatierri, who have scored a combined 24 goals.
It is therefore easy to see why they have failed to score in only three matches this season. The Lazio-based team have now recorded 19 over 1.5 goals matches in 28 played.
And with Frosinone still having their sights firmly set on promotion, this trend looks sure to continue.